Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.585943 14.100646 15.740637 17.650661 19.817155 22.201759 25.030097
2025-05-11 10.061186 12.090604 14.461578 17.446517 21.118647 25.507037 31.176374
2025-05-18 8.335689 10.607321 13.432470 17.227320 22.226421 28.635076 37.550118
2025-05-25 7.093294 9.469467 12.584209 17.005146 23.181739 31.597821 44.092670
2025-06-01 6.193449 8.616244 11.939791 16.889479 24.172170 34.647992 51.137405
2025-06-08 5.512628 7.952447 11.436477 16.852227 25.199689 37.810973 58.752166
2025-06-15 5.114551 7.629964 11.358362 17.390829 27.104953 42.480837 69.355336
2025-06-22 4.625305 7.105023 10.902388 17.267146 27.922170 45.504025 77.686724
2025-06-29 4.152048 6.547034 10.323455 16.857765 28.188779 47.610136 84.703270
2025-07-06 3.784010 6.114233 9.890545 16.623448 28.694851 50.147912 92.827227
2025-07-13 3.605725 5.971447 9.912939 17.157773 30.597569 55.388383 106.836545
2025-07-20 3.447791 5.844531 9.944011 17.701455 32.570545 61.000615 122.474435
2025-07-27 3.245852 5.628408 9.809435 17.949909 34.064293 65.992079 137.918659
2025-08-03 2.980403 5.274606 9.394731 17.626476 34.406911 68.756032 149.118987
2025-08-10 2.750622 4.964033 9.028307 17.353334 34.813718 71.708205 161.287370
2025-08-17 2.548583 4.686066 8.695217 17.106386 35.238813 74.752834 174.230790
2025-08-24 2.381335 4.458671 8.436468 16.979610 35.900218 78.405562 189.333964
2025-08-31 2.239585 4.267715 8.230237 16.937451 36.738556 82.575994 206.545366
2025-09-07 2.170389 4.213812 8.292580 17.476833 38.964118 90.339020 234.769145
2025-09-14 2.041558 4.027658 8.065585 17.351488 39.617489 94.373747 253.620592
2025-09-21 1.897873 3.798742 7.728258 16.939481 39.527282 96.525115 267.551063
2025-09-28 1.782340 3.619135 7.479634 16.703726 39.837241 99.746200 285.280952
2025-10-05 1.739422 3.590546 7.555772 17.240786 42.169121 108.698707 322.482047